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Polymarket conditional markets price a U.S. recession by the end of 2027 at 35 percent if Democrats sweep Congress against 19 percent if they do not, Cointelegraph reports
- Polymarket conditional markets price a U.S. recession by the end of 2027 at 35 percent if Democrats sweep Congress against 19 percent if they do not, Cointelegraph reports — Cointelegraph reports the conditional pricing, observed at 4:50 p.m. UTC, sits alongside a Democratic sweep priced at 75 percent on Kalshi and 75.5 percent on Polymarket in the same read. It also cites a Washington Post analysis that nearly 1.9 billion dollars in election-related contracts had traded on the two platforms as of Monday, a record for a midterm cycle. (Cointelegraph)
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