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Polymarket Bab el-Mandeb closure odds jump to 18 percent on chokepoint and energy signals
- Polymarket Bab el-Mandeb closure odds jump to 18 percent on chokepoint and energy signals — Polymarket's contract on the Bab el-Mandeb Strait being effectively closed by December 31 rose to 18 percent, up 3.5 points in 24 hours on about 103,500 dollars of daily volume. The November 30 closure contract rose to 11 percent while the October 31 contract held at 3.9 percent, pointing to later-window rather than immediate closure risk. (Global Political Spotlight)
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