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Polymarket and Kalshi show widest gap on 2028 party winner, with Republicans at 34.5 percent on Polymarket against 40.5 percent on Kalshi, PolymarketTrader reports
- Polymarket and Kalshi show widest gap on 2028 party winner, with Republicans at 34.5 percent on Polymarket against 40.5 percent on Kalshi, PolymarketTrader reports — PolymarketTrader matched 10 events listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi on October 30 and found an average gap of 1.0 percentage points across 54 matched outcomes. The widest gap was on which party wins the 2028 presidential election, while the December Fed decision was priced closely at 69.5 percent for a 25 basis point hike on Polymarket and 70.5 percent on Kalshi. (PolymarketTrader)
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