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Polymarket and Kalshi prices differ by 1.0 point on average across 54 matched outcomes on October 30, with the widest gap on 2028 Republicans at 6 points, PolymarketTrader reports

  • Polymarket and Kalshi prices differ by 1.0 point on average across 54 matched outcomes on October 30, with the widest gap on 2028 Republicans at 6 points, PolymarketTrader reports — PolymarketTrader matched 10 events listed on both exchanges on October 30, pricing Republicans for the 2028 presidential election at 34.5 percent on Polymarket against 40.5 percent on Kalshi. Both exchanges price a December Fed hike of 25 basis points at 71.5 percent, and the Spurs lead the 2027 NBA champion market at 21.5 percent on both. (PolymarketTrader)

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