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Polymarket and Kalshi prices average a 1.2 point gap across 61 matched outcomes, with the widest gap on Republicans winning the 2028 presidential election, PolymarketTrader reports
- Polymarket and Kalshi prices average a 1.2 point gap across 61 matched outcomes, with the widest gap on Republicans winning the 2028 presidential election, PolymarketTrader reports — PolymarketTrader matched 12 events listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi as of Oct. 27, covering 61 outcomes with an average price gap of 1.2 percentage points. The widest gap was on Republicans winning the 2028 presidential election, at 34.5 percent on Polymarket versus 40.5 percent on Kalshi, while the December 2026 Fed 25 basis point hike outcome was priced at 74.5 percent on Polymarket and 72.5 percent on Kalshi. (PolymarketTrader)
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