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October Fed hike odds fell in two sharp bursts on Kalshi and Polymarket
- October Fed hike odds fell in two sharp bursts on Kalshi and Polymarket — An analysis of the October Fed decision contracts shows the implied hike probability dropped in two distinct bursts on Kalshi and Polymarket, with the platforms using different volume measures. Kalshi reports volume in contracts while Polymarket reports it in dollars, so the figures are not directly additive. (CleanSky)
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