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New Zealand election market prices about a 35 percent chance that either named bloc wins a majority of seats, Manifest reports

  • New Zealand election market prices about a 35 percent chance that either named bloc wins a majority of seats, Manifest reports — Manifest reported on November 5 that polls put National at 30 percent and Labour at 29 percent in one survey, with small parties likely to decide the outcome under mixed-member proportional rules. The market measure covers two specified blocs and excludes the centrist Opportunity party, which reporting identifies as a possible kingmaker. (Manifest)

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