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Midterm TruthIndex puts Democrats at 68.4 percent for Senate control and 93.3 percent for House control, Nijinn reports
- Midterm TruthIndex puts Democrats at 68.4 percent for Senate control and 93.3 percent for House control, Nijinn reports — Nijinn's US Midterms tracker, updated October 30 at 1:10 AM ET, puts Democrats at a 68.4 percent chance to control the Senate on its TruthIndex, with Polymarket at 68.5 percent and Kalshi at 67.5 percent, and expected seats at 51.9 for Democrats and 47.6 for Republicans. For the House it puts Democrats at 93.3 percent, with Polymarket at 93.5 percent and Kalshi at 92.0 percent, ahead of the November 3 election. (Nijinn)
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