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Midterm TruthIndex projects Democrats at 51.3 expected Senate seats with a 64 percent chance of Senate control, Nijinn reports
- Midterm TruthIndex projects Democrats at 51.3 expected Senate seats with a 64 percent chance of Senate control, Nijinn reports — The Nijinn midterm tracker puts Democrats at a 64.0 percent chance to control the Senate on its TruthIndex, with Polymarket at 64.5 percent and Kalshi at 63.5 percent, and a 91.4 percent chance to control the House. Expected seats from the index are Democrats 51.3, Republicans 48.2 and other candidates or unpriced 0.5, with Democrats needing 51 seats and Republicans keeping control at 50 with the Vice President tiebreak. (Nijinn)
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