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Midterm prediction markets favor Democrats for House at 90 percent as polls and forecasts compared

  • Midterm prediction markets favor Democrats for House at 90 percent as polls and forecasts compared — Action Network compared prediction markets with polling as of October 16, listing Democrats at 90 percent on both Polymarket US and Kalshi for House control, and at 61 percent on Polymarket US and 62 percent on Kalshi for Senate control. RealClearPolling showed Democrats ahead by 8.3 points nationally, while Cook Political Report projected a Democratic House gain of 9 to 19 seats. (Action Network)

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