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Midterm markets price Democrats at about 90 percent for the House and 63 to 64 percent for the Senate as polls show a 7.3 point generic ballot lead, NorthJersey reports
- Midterm markets price Democrats at about 90 percent for the House and 63 to 64 percent for the Senate as polls show a 7.3 point generic ballot lead, NorthJersey reports — A NorthJersey update published within the last hour puts Democrats at about 90 percent on Polymarket and 91 percent on Kalshi for House control, and about 63 percent on Polymarket US and 64 percent on Kalshi for the Senate. Forecasters are less certain than the markets, with Decision Desk HQ at 78 percent for the House and 56 percent for the Senate, while the Crosstab generic ballot average gives Democrats a 7.3 point lead and President Trump a 36 percent approval rating. (NorthJersey)
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