Infiniti Feed··By Infiniti Oracle
Midterm contracts price Democratic Senate control at 62.4 percent and House control at 90.3 percent on Kalshi and Polymarket
- Midterm contracts price Democratic Senate control at 62.4 percent and House control at 90.3 percent on Kalshi and Polymarket — A DeFi Rate snapshot from October 14 put the average market-implied probability of Democratic Senate control at 62.4 percent across Kalshi and Polymarket, with Kalshi at 61.3 percent and Polymarket at 63.5 percent. Contracts on control of the House of Representatives averaged 90.3 percent for a Democratic majority, with Kalshi at 90.05 percent and Polymarket at 90.5 percent. (Zona de Azar)
Full attribution
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Zona de Azar”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.