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Markets-vs-polls Senate gap narrows to 2.9 points on Election Day morning, from a 7.3 point average since September 1, Yahoo Finance analysis finds
- Markets-vs-polls Senate gap narrows to 2.9 points on Election Day morning, from a 7.3 point average since September 1, Yahoo Finance analysis finds — A Yahoo Finance analysis averaging Kalshi, Polymarket and PredictIt against the Nate Silver and Harvard ElectIt polling models puts prediction markets at 77.3 percent for Democrats to take the Senate against 80.2 percent from the polling models. The Senate gap averaged 7.3 points since September 1, while the House gap was 2.2 points on Tuesday, with markets at 94 percent against 96.2 percent from polls. (Yahoo Finance)
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