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Manifold open-source AI market sits near 86 percent after heavy single-day volume
- Manifold open-source AI market sits near 86 percent after heavy single-day volume — A Manifold market tied to the 2026 State of AI Report, asking whether a major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models, sat at roughly 86 percent implied probability as of October 10. About 40 percent of its all-time volume changed hands in a single 24-hour window alongside a run of open-weight model releases. (Tech Insider)
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