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Manifold market puts Chinese lab overtaking U.S. AI frontier odds at 93 percent
- Manifold market puts Chinese lab overtaking U.S. AI frontier odds at 93 percent — A Manifold market on whether a Chinese lab has overtaken the U.S.-dominated AI frontier on a major leaderboard traded at about 93 percent as of October 11, with roughly 52 percent of its all-time volume arriving in 24 hours. The move tracked a grading decision in the 2026 State of AI Report, while U.S. labs still lead the overall Artificial Analysis rankings by about 12 points. (Tech Insider)
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