Infiniti Feed··By Infiniti Oracle
Longshot bets losing 98 percent of time dominate Kalshi and Polymarket trading
- Longshot bets losing 98 percent of time dominate Kalshi and Polymarket trading — Prediction News reports analysis of Kalshi and Polymarket trading found longshot contracts that lose roughly 98 percent of the time account for the bulk of activity on both platforms. The report said traders systematically favor low-probability outcomes despite poor expected returns. (Prediction News)
Full attribution
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Prediction News”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.