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Kalshi weather markets beat leading public forecast in six of seven cities, study finds

  • Kalshi weather markets beat leading public forecast in six of seven cities, study finds — A study of Kalshi temperature markets since 2021 found the market-implied next-day forecast beat the National Blend of Models in six of seven cities, with about 10 percent lower error early in trading. The paper by Alexander W. Crosier was posted to arXiv on September 21. (NextPredict)

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