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Kalshi says its market favorites won 479 of 487 resolved midterm races, a 96.4 percent hit rate, Prediction News reports

  • Kalshi says its market favorites won 479 of 487 resolved midterm races, a 96.4 percent hit rate, Prediction News reports — A DeFi Rate review of pre-election prices confirmed the same percentage, and Texas alone accounted for half of Kalshi's misses. Prediction News noted that differing samples limit direct comparisons with Polymarket US and with Kalshi's own internal recap. (Prediction News)

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