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Kalshi's 35 individual Senate race prices imply 96 percent Democratic control if treated as independent, against 87 percent in the control markets, DeFi Rate reports
- Kalshi's 35 individual Senate race prices imply 96 percent Democratic control if treated as independent, against 87 percent in the control markets, DeFi Rate reports — DeFi Rate reports its consistency check combines the 35 Kalshi state race prices into a 96 percent implied chance of Democratic Senate control, well above the 87 percent average in the control markets themselves. It notes the calculation assumes the races are independent, which they are not, since Senate races tend to move together on a shared national swing. (DeFi Rate)
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