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Kalshi recession market prices a 2026 recession at 18 cents as inflation contracts stay elevated
- Kalshi recession market prices a 2026 recession at 18 cents as inflation contracts stay elevated — Kalshi traders price a recession this year at 18 cents against 83 cents for no recession, defined by two consecutive quarters of declining GDP. The same outlook page prices a move to at least 6.0 percent inflation as unlikely. (Covers)
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