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Kalshi prices Democrats at 71 percent for the Senate against 40 percent from a history-only model, with the gap in six states, WalletInvestor reports
- Kalshi prices Democrats at 71 percent for the Senate against 40 percent from a history-only model, with the gap in six states, WalletInvestor reports — Two days before the midterms, Kalshi prices put Democrats at 71 percent for a Senate majority while a gov.house model built only from past election results puts them at 40 percent with a median of 50 seats. The largest gaps are Alaska at 59 points, Ohio and Kansas at 43 points each, and North Carolina at 37 points, while the two agree on the House at about 93 percent from markets against about 90 percent from history. (WalletInvestor)
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