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Kalshi prices a Fed hold at 86.5 percent for the October 27 to 28 meeting after a 16 point jump in four days, PredictionMarketsPicks tracker shows
- Kalshi prices a Fed hold at 86.5 percent for the October 27 to 28 meeting after a 16 point jump in four days, PredictionMarketsPicks tracker shows — The tracker's three-venue comparison puts the hold outcome at 86.5 percent on Kalshi and 87.5 percent on Polymarket for the October 27 to 28 FOMC meeting, against 86.0 percent implied by CME fed funds futures, a spread of 1.5 points. Kalshi's hold price sat at 70.5 percent on October 15, and the full ladder prices a 25 basis point hike at about 14 percent and a cut at about 1 percent. (PredictionMarketsPicks)
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