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Kalshi prices a December 2026 Fed rate hike at about 79 percent against 77.5 percent on Polymarket and 84.5 percent in fed funds futures, PredictionMarketPicks reports
- Kalshi prices a December 2026 Fed rate hike at about 79 percent against 77.5 percent on Polymarket and 84.5 percent in fed funds futures, PredictionMarketPicks reports — PredictionMarketPicks reports the December 8-9, 2026 FOMC decision market on Kalshi splits about 79 percent for a 25 basis point hike, 23 percent for a hold and 1 percent for a cut, updated November 4 at 7:00 AM EST. Across the three venues pricing the same meeting, the widest disagreement is 7.1 points on the hold outcome between fed funds futures and Kalshi, and the board refreshes every 30 minutes as new inflation and jobs data lands. (PredictionMarketPicks)
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