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Kalshi market-implied September CPI call was the closest forecast at 3.65 percent against a 3.7 percent print
- Kalshi market-implied September CPI call was the closest forecast at 3.65 percent against a 3.7 percent print — Nowflation's grading of the September 2026 CPI release, which printed at 3.7 percent year over year on October 14, puts Kalshi's market-implied mean of 3.65 percent as the closest forecast with a 0.05 point miss. The Cleveland Fed and street consensus both missed by 0.10 points at 3.6 percent. (Nowflation)
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