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Kalshi 2027 recession market at record-low 20 percent is a thin-market print, analysis warns

  • Kalshi 2027 recession market at record-low 20 percent is a thin-market print, analysis warns — AInvest cautions that Kalshi traders pushing 2027 recession odds to a record low near 20 percent reflects a lightly traded contract, with about 46,000 open contracts, rather than a firm forecast. The analysis contrasts the print with Polymarket at 34 percent and notes the Kalshi contract settles only on two straight quarters of negative GDP growth. (AInvest)

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