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Israel and Iran ceasefire market through December 15 rises 12 points to 53 percent on Polymarket, ProbCast reports
- Israel and Iran ceasefire market through December 15 rises 12 points to 53 percent on Polymarket, ProbCast reports — ProbCast, updated at 1:50 PM ET on November 4, scores the ceasefire move as worth watching rather than confirmed, in a 24-hour board led by confirmed election moves. A separate Polymarket market on a United States invasion of Iran before 2027 fell 7 points to 11 percent on 793,600 dollars, scored as a confirmed move. (ProbCast)
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