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Forecasters trail prediction markets on midterms eight days out, with Decision Desk HQ at 79 percent for the House against Polymarket at 93 percent, ThisNewsRoom reports
- Forecasters trail prediction markets on midterms eight days out, with Decision Desk HQ at 79 percent for the House against Polymarket at 93 percent, ThisNewsRoom reports — Decision Desk HQ, updated October 25, gives Democrats a 79 percent chance of winning the House and 56 percent for the Senate, below prediction market prices of about 93 percent and 65 percent. The Texas Senate race is the most traded on Kalshi, with traders pricing Talarico ahead of Paxton at 65 percent to 35 percent. (ThisNewsRoom)
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