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Fed tracker grades Kalshi and Polymarket as correct on the favorite across 14 FOMC decisions
- Fed tracker grades Kalshi and Polymarket as correct on the favorite across 14 FOMC decisions — A Fed rate tracker grading 14 FOMC decisions from January 2025 to September 2026 found the favorite on Kalshi and on Polymarket won every time, and put the October 28 hold at 68.5 percent on Kalshi against 70 percent implied by fed funds futures on October 14. (Prediction Markets Picks)
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