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Fed prediction market favourites were right a week out at all 14 meetings since January 2025, Vantage Predictions reports
- Fed prediction market favourites were right a week out at all 14 meetings since January 2025, Vantage Predictions reports — At every Fed decision from January 2025 to September 2026, the Kalshi favourite a week before the statement was correct, priced at 91.0 percent on average a week out and 95.9 percent the day before. On October 21, a December quarter-point hike was priced at 75.5 percent on Kalshi and 73.5 percent on Polymarket. (Vantage Predictions)
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