Infiniti Feed··By Infiniti Oracle
Fed prediction market favourite was right at all 14 decisions since January 2025 ahead of October 28 decision, Vantage Predictions reports
- Fed prediction market favourite was right at all 14 decisions since January 2025 ahead of October 28 decision, Vantage Predictions reports — Vantage Predictions reports the favourite on Kalshi a week before each Fed statement was right at all 14 decisions since January 2025, with the outcome that happened priced at 91.0 percent on average a week out and 95.9 percent a day out. For the October 28 decision, Kalshi and Polymarket both priced a hold at 88.5 percent on October 21, with the closest past call the September 2026 hike at 56.5 percent a week out. (Vantage Predictions)
Full attribution
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Vantage Predictions”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.