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Fed prediction market favorites have been right at all 14 decisions since January 2025, priced at 91 percent a week out on average, Vantage Predictions reports
- Fed prediction market favorites have been right at all 14 decisions since January 2025, priced at 91 percent a week out on average, Vantage Predictions reports — Vantage Predictions found the Kalshi favorite a week before each Federal Reserve decision from January 2025 to September 2026 was correct in all 14 cases, priced at 91.0 percent on average a week out and 95.9 percent the day before. For October 28, Kalshi priced no change at 88.5 percent on October 21, matching Polymarket at 88.5 percent. (Vantage Predictions)
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