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Fed October hold priced at 91.5 percent on Kalshi and 92.4 percent on Polymarket against 88 percent in futures, Prediction Markets Picks reports
- Fed October hold priced at 91.5 percent on Kalshi and 92.4 percent on Polymarket against 88 percent in futures, Prediction Markets Picks reports — The October 27-28 FOMC board updated October 26 shows a hold at 91.5 percent on Kalshi, 92.4 percent on Polymarket and 88 percent implied by fed funds futures, a 4.4 point spread on the most likely outcome. A 25 basis point hike is priced at 8.5 percent on Kalshi, 7.5 percent on Polymarket and 12 percent in futures, after Kalshi's October hike contract fell from a 69 percent close on September 28. (Prediction Markets Picks)
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