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Fed October decision board shows a hold as most likely with a one-point gap between two Kalshi contracts on the same outcome, DeFi Rate reports

  • Fed October decision board shows a hold as most likely with a one-point gap between two Kalshi contracts on the same outcome, DeFi Rate reports — DeFi Rate listed a hold as the most likely outcome for the October 28 Fed meeting at 92 percent, observed October 26 between 4:25 PM and 4:52 PM ET. It noted Kalshi's decision market priced a hike at 8.5 percent while its rate-level market priced the same outcome at 9.5 percent, and that Kalshi and Polymarket agreed at 76.5 percent on at least one hike in 2026. (DeFi Rate)

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