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Fed hold priced at 93 to 94 percent in prediction markets ahead of October 28 decision, Kalkine reports
- Fed hold priced at 93 to 94 percent in prediction markets ahead of October 28 decision, Kalkine reports — Kalkine reports prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi price a Fed hold at 93 to 94 percent ahead of the October 28 decision at 2:00 PM ET, with December hike odds near 73 to 75 percent. Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference follows the decision, and the 10-year Treasury yield sits at about 4.995 percent, making intermediate bond funds such as IEF sensitive to his wording. (Kalkine)
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