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Fed hold for October 27-28 meeting priced at 93.5 percent on Kalshi and 94.5 percent on Polymarket, with hike at 8 percent on Kalshi, PredictionMarketSpicks reports
- Fed hold for October 27-28 meeting priced at 93.5 percent on Kalshi and 94.5 percent on Polymarket, with hike at 8 percent on Kalshi, PredictionMarketSpicks reports — PredictionMarketSpicks reported that as of October 25, prediction markets put a hold at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting at 93.5 percent on Kalshi and 94.5 percent on Polymarket, compared with 90 percent in fed funds futures, a 4.5 point spread on the hold outcome. Kalshi implies a hike at 8 percent, split between 7 percent for 25 basis points and 1 percent for 50 basis points, with a cut at 1 percent. (PredictionMarketSpicks)
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