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Fed hike odds at 7 to 9 percent in prediction markets as T-bill model signals a possible surprise, Beyond the Narrative reports
- Fed hike odds at 7 to 9 percent in prediction markets as T-bill model signals a possible surprise, Beyond the Narrative reports — An analysis ahead of the 2 PM ET FOMC announcement puts a 25 basis point hike at about 7 to 9 percent in prediction markets and futures, with most probability shifted to December. It notes the 3-month T-bill sat 28.5 basis points above the current target midpoint, a pattern it says has historically pointed to a move. (Beyond the Narrative)
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