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Fed futures price a December hike at 76.1 percent against 70.5 percent on Kalshi and 69.5 percent on Polymarket, a 6.6 point gap, PredictionMarketsPicks reports
- Fed futures price a December hike at 76.1 percent against 70.5 percent on Kalshi and 69.5 percent on Polymarket, a 6.6 point gap, PredictionMarketsPicks reports — PredictionMarketsPicks' December tracker, updated November 2 at 12:30 AM EST, puts Kalshi's full hike price at 72 percent with a hold at 28 percent for the December 8 to 9 FOMC meeting. The tracker notes the market favorite has won 15 of the last 15 Fed decisions since 2025 on Kalshi and Polymarket. (PredictionMarketsPicks)
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