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Fed decision today priced at 95.5 percent hold on Kalshi against 95 percent on Polymarket and 92 percent in futures, PredictionMarketsPicks reports
- Fed decision today priced at 95.5 percent hold on Kalshi against 95 percent on Polymarket and 92 percent in futures, PredictionMarketsPicks reports — For the October 27 to 28 FOMC meeting, Kalshi prices a hold at 95.5 percent, Polymarket at 95.0 percent and CME fed funds futures at 92.0 percent, a 3.5 point spread on the most likely outcome. A 25 basis point hike is priced at 4.5 percent on Kalshi and 4.7 percent on Polymarket against 8.0 percent in futures. (PredictionMarketsPicks)
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