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Election Day markets and polls diverge on the Senate, with Kalshi at 70 percent and Polymarket at 73 percent for Democratic control against models in the high 70s, Action Network reports
- Election Day markets and polls diverge on the Senate, with Kalshi at 70 percent and Polymarket at 73 percent for Democratic control against models in the high 70s, Action Network reports — Action Network reports Kalshi and Polymarket both price Democrats at about 95 percent for the House on Election Day morning, with a full Democratic sweep at 70 percent on Kalshi and 72 percent on Polymarket. Nate Silver's FLIPR model puts Democratic Senate chances in the high 70s, above the market prices, while a Northwestern model adjusting market prices put Republican chances of holding the Senate at 23.4 percent on October 27. (Action Network)
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