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Democrats priced at 67.5 percent on Polymarket and 65.5 percent on Kalshi to win the 2028 presidential election, a 2 point cross-venue gap, PolymarketTrader reports
- Democrats priced at 67.5 percent on Polymarket and 65.5 percent on Kalshi to win the 2028 presidential election, a 2 point cross-venue gap, PolymarketTrader reports — Republicans were priced at 32.5 percent on Polymarket against 34.5 percent on Kalshi in PolymarketTrader's November 5 comparison of 8 events listed on both exchanges. Across 50 matched outcomes the average gap between the two venues was 1.0 percentage points. (PolymarketTrader)
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