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Democratic sweep is the prediction market base case at 67 percent on Polymarket ahead of the midterms, FP Markets reports
- Democratic sweep is the prediction market base case at 67 percent on Polymarket ahead of the midterms, FP Markets reports — FP Markets said Polymarket prices a Democratic sweep of both chambers at 67 percent, a Democratic House with a Republican Senate at 28 percent and a Republican sweep at 6 percent, with Democrats at 93 percent to win the House. Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill framed the sweep as the market base case as U.S. stock benchmarks sit at record highs ahead of the November 3 vote. (FP Markets)
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