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December Fed rate hike priced at 76.5 percent on Kalshi and 75.5 percent on Polymarket against 78.9 percent in futures, a 3.4 point widest gap, PredictionMarketPicks reports
- December Fed rate hike priced at 76.5 percent on Kalshi and 75.5 percent on Polymarket against 78.9 percent in futures, a 3.4 point widest gap, PredictionMarketPicks reports — PredictionMarketPicks reports its December 2026 FOMC tracker, updated at 3:00 a.m. EST on November 4, prices a 25 basis point hike at 76.5 percent on Kalshi and 75.5 percent on Polymarket, against 78.9 percent implied by fed funds futures. A hold is priced near 24 percent on both prediction venues. (PredictionMarketPicks)
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