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December Fed hike priced at 76.5 percent on both Kalshi and Polymarket against 81.7 percent from fed funds futures, PredictionMarketsPicks reports
- December Fed hike priced at 76.5 percent on both Kalshi and Polymarket against 81.7 percent from fed funds futures, PredictionMarketsPicks reports — A fed rate tracker comparing venues puts a 25 basis point December hike at 76.5 percent on Kalshi and 76.5 percent on Polymarket, below the 81.7 percent implied by fed funds futures, and grades Kalshi and Polymarket near 95 percent accuracy across 15 past Fed decisions. (PredictionMarketsPicks)
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