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Danske Bank flags pre-election tail risks as Polymarket prices Democrats winning both chambers at 62.5 percent, FXStreet reports
- Danske Bank flags pre-election tail risks as Polymarket prices Democrats winning both chambers at 62.5 percent, FXStreet reports — Danske Research says early voting is underway in more than 40 states and prediction markets are broadly unchanged since its October 13 midterm update. Kalshi assigns a 13 percent probability to Trump declaring a national emergency before Election Day and a 17 percent probability to invoking the Insurrection Act before the end of 2026. (FXStreet)
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