CNN: insider-trading risk becomes the midterm-market storyline
Infiniti Prediction Markets
CNN: insider-trading risk becomes the midterm-market storyline
an investigation into midterm prediction markets reports an average of 44 granular markets per race (endorsements, rallies, dropouts); Kalshi has suspended at least six…
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket #Midterms
Fed October hike odds tick up to ~19%
CME FedWatch via Barron's/WSJ shows a 19% chance of an October hike (83% for December) after hawkish Waller/Musalem remarks; Kalshi and Polymarket both sat at ~15.5¢ on…
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Oil eases after Trump says no Iran strike before midterms
Brent front-month fell 1.5% to ~$102.70 and WTI ~$90.57 on "productive" Tehran talks, though Hurricane Isaias and Houthi attacks keep a ~$22/bbl risk premium in Brent.
#PredictionMarkets #Oil
Markets: Gold $4,200 | Brent $102.70 | WTI $90.57 | BTC $82.7k
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