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Brennan Center study of 1,994 voters finds prediction market odds shift perceived winner by 10 to 20 points, Brennan Center reports
- Brennan Center study of 1,994 voters finds prediction market odds shift perceived winner by 10 to 20 points, Brennan Center reports — A Brennan Center-funded study conducted September 21 with 1,994 registered voters found a candidate at 67 percent on Kalshi was 10 points more likely to be seen as the likely winner than one at 50 percent, rising to 20 points at 84 percent, even though fewer than one in five voters called election prediction markets accurate and 7 in 10 disapproved of betting on elections. (Brennan Center)
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