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Brennan Center study finds prediction market odds shift voter expectations by 10 to 20 points, Brennan Center reports

  • Brennan Center study finds prediction market odds shift voter expectations by 10 to 20 points, Brennan Center reports — A Brennan Center-funded study of 1,994 registered voters conducted September 21, 2026 found voters were 10 to 20 percentage points more likely to believe a candidate would win when prediction markets favored that candidate, regardless of polling. Seven in 10 Americans disapproved of betting on elections in the study, and fewer than one in five said election prediction markets are accurate. (Brennan Center)

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