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Brazil election sparks debate after Lula wins despite Polymarket and Kalshi pricing Bolsonaro near 80 percent, Unchained reports
- Brazil election sparks debate after Lula wins despite Polymarket and Kalshi pricing Bolsonaro near 80 percent, Unchained reports — Unchained reported Polymarket and Kalshi priced Flavio Bolsonaro at roughly 80 percent hours before Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva won Sunday's runoff with 51.8 percent of valid votes. Polymarket's Brazil election market drew more than 249 million dollars in total volume and resolved in Lula's favor, with traders split on whether the outcome was a forecasting miss. (Unchained)
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