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Ballon d'Or analysis puts Kane at 56.35 percent on Polymarket against a 50 percent fair value estimate
- Ballon d'Or analysis puts Kane at 56.35 percent on Polymarket against a 50 percent fair value estimate — The Traders Spread estimated fair value for Harry Kane to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 50 percent, below his 56.35 percent Polymarket price ahead of the October 26 announcement. The analysis weighted Kalshi's 57.5 percent mid price and a de-vigged bookmaker median of 54.45 percent. (The Traders Spread)
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