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Backtest finds top Polymarket sports whales do not keep winning the following month
- Backtest finds top Polymarket sports whales do not keep winning the following month — A walk-forward backtest across MLB, NFL, college football, League of Legends and Valorant markets found the previous two months top 10 MLB wallets made 2.72 to 3.78 dollars per 10 dollars copied, then between a 2.23 dollar loss and a 0.16 dollar gain the next month. The rank correlation between a wallet result in the pick months and the next month was between minus 0.03 and plus 0.15. (OrcaLayer)
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